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Spain 2026: why it is growing faster than the Eurozone and how to position Made in Italy

Spain 2026: why it is growing faster than the Eurozone and how to position Made in Italy

In summary
  • La Commissione Europea stima per la Spagna una crescita del PIL del 2,4% nel 2026, quasi il triplo dello 0,9% previsto per l’Eurozona.
  • Nel 2025 l’export italiano verso la Spagna ha superato i 38 miliardi di euro (+10,6%), con un interscambio bilaterale vicino ai 71 miliardi.
  • Spanish growth is based on domestic consumption, European PRTR funds, and a decline in unemployment, projected at 9.9% in 2026, down from 10.5% in 2025.
  • Le opportunità si concentrano in quattro aree: macchinari e automazione, life sciences, digitale ed energia, consumer premium come food, moda e design.
  • A mature and competitive market: we need choice of segments and areas, the right channel and a commercial proposition that goes beyond the reputation of Made in Italy.
Index

Spain 2026: the key figures 

  • GDP 2026: +2.4% according to the European Commission; 
  • Eurozone GDP 2026: +0,9%; 
  • GDP Q2 2026: +0.7% over the previous quarter and +2.6% on an annual basis; 
  • GDP 2025: +2,8%; 
  • Italian exports to Spain in 2025: over 38 billion euros; 
  • Italian export growth 2025: +10,6%; 
  • Interscambio Italy-Spain 2025: almost 71 billion euros; 
  • AI in Spanish companies: used by 21.1% of companies with at least 10 employees in the first quarter of 2025; 
  • Cloud computing: used by 44.3%; 
  • E-commerce sales: carried out by 26.6% of enterprises in 2024.

Macroeconomic summary table 2026 

Economic Indicator  Spain (2026)  Eurozone Media (2026)  Primary driver 
Annual GDP growth (CE estimate)  +2,4%  +0,9%  Domestic consumption & PRTR funds 
GDP growth Q2 (trendline)  +2,6%  +0,6%  Household spending (+1.2%) and investments (+1.7%) 
Unemployment Rate  9.9% (historical minimum)  6,4%  +2.2% full-time employment 
Export Made in Italy (2025)  >38 Billion € (+10.6%)  N/D  5th Italian destination market 

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Why is Spain growing faster than the Eurozone in 2026? 

The performance of Spain It assumes particular importance when compared to the rest of the euro area. 

In the spring forecast for 2026, the European Commission estimates a growth of Spanish GDP of 2,4%, Almost three times the +0,9% Forecast for the Eurozone. For 2027, growth is expected to moderate to 1.9%, but it will still be above the euro area average of 1.2%. Similarly, the’OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) confirms a positive picture, albeit with a slightly more cautious estimate: +2.2% in 2026 and +1.7% in 2027. 

Macroeconomic Parameter  Spain (2026)  Eurozone Media (2026)  Official source 
Annual GDP Growth  +2,4% (CE estimate) / +2,2% (OECD)  +0,9%  European Commission / OECD 
Quarterly GDP Growth (Q2)  +0,7% conjunctural (+2,6% trend)  +0.2% cyclical  INE (National Institute of Statistics) 
Unemployment Rate  9,9% (in a progressive decline towards 9.6% in 2027)  6,4%  Eurostat / European Commission 
Internal Demand Contribution  3.5 percentage points to growth  Stagnant / Weak  Spanish Ministry of Economy 

Some factors are mainly responsible for this growth. 

An internal demand still strong

One of the key elements is consumer spending. The labor market continues to support household incomes, and according to the European Commission, private consumption and investment will represent the main drivers of the economy in 2026. 

The official data for the second quarter of the’INE (National Institute of Statistics) This dynamic is confirmed: household final consumption grew by 1.2% compared to the previous quarter, while gross capital formation increased by 1.7%. For an Italian company, this is an important element: dynamic domestic demand tends to support imports as well, creating space for both consumer goods and technologies, machinery and solutions intended for investment. 

Investments supported by European funds

The implementation of the Spanish National Plan for Recovery and Resilience (Plan of Recovery, Transformation and Resilience – PRTR, Supported by the European program NextGenerationEU with a total allocation of over 163 billion euros in grants and loans), it continues to support public and private investments, particularly in the strategic areas of digitalization, sustainable infrastructure, energy transition, and intangible assets. According to the European Commission, the momentum of these investments and the solid financial situation of non-financial companies should continue to support capital formation even for the entire 2026. 

This element is particularly interesting for Italian B2B companies, because it generates demand not only for finished products, but also for: 

  • machinery; 
  • automation; 
  • components; 
  • energy technologies; 
  • software and digitalization; 
  • engineering; 
  • solutions to improve efficiency and productivity. 

A resilient labor market 

The European Commission also forecasts a reduction in the Spanish unemployment rate from 10.5% in 2025 to 9.9% in 2026 and at 9.6% in 2027. The level remains high in the European comparison, but the trend is positive. 

In the second quarter of 2026, the equivalent full-time employment increased by 2.2% on an annual basis. Employment, real wage growth and demographic dynamics are all contributing to supporting consumption and, consequently, demand for goods and services. 

Spain and Italy: how important is the market for our exports? 

In 2025, bilateral trade exceeded the 71 billion euros, With a growth of 4.2% compared to the previous year. Italian exports exceeded 38 billion, increasing by 10,6%, While the Italian trade balance recorded a surplus exceeding 5 billion. 

In the first quarter of 2026, Spain was also the fifth destination market for Italian exports, with a share of 5.7%. The material prepared by Octagona highlights that Italian exports have increased from approximately 24.5 billion in 2019 to over 38 billion in 2025. Even the most recent data indicate an even dynamic trade relationship: in June 2026, Italian exports to Spain grew by 11.3% compared to the same month in 2025. 9.4% on an annual basis. 

Spain is therefore a mature market for Italian products, but precisely because of this it presents a high level of competition. Germany and France represent very well-established competitors, while numerous Spanish companies have already established local and international suppliers. The real demand is therefore not simply: “Can we sell in Spain?” but rather: “In which segments can we build a competitive advantage over the existing offerings?” 

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What does Italy export to Spain? 

The composition of Italian exports to Spain is very diverse. According to InfoMarkets and Foreign Exchange, In 2025, the main categories were: 

  • machinery and equipment: 12.2% of Italian exports; 
  • pharmaceutical: 11,7%; 
  • Computers, electronics and optics: 9,7%; 
  • means of transport: 9,3%; 
  • metals and metal products: 9,2%; 
  • textiles, clothing, leather and accessories: 8,6%; 
  • chemistry: 8,1%. 

Spain also has some specializations in which it depends significantly on Italian imports, including: glasses, furniture and pasta. 

There is therefore no single driving sector. It is more correct to speak of four major areas of opportunity, In these, the Italian offer can meet concrete needs of the Spanish market.  

  1. Machinery, automation and components

Machinery already represents the main category of Italian exports to Spain. The Spanish manufacturing system offers opportunities in sectors such as automotive, food processing, packaging, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, aerospace, logistics, and energy. For Italian companies, they can be of interest: 

  • industrial machinery; 
  • automation; 
  • process technologies; 
  • packaging; 
  • refrigeration and ventilation; 
  • components; 
  • quality control solutions; 
  • Technologies for productive and energy efficiency. 

In this segment, however, price is rarely the only determining factor. Other factors also play a role. reliability, response times, ability to customize, technical support and after-sales service. Product quality can open the door, but it is often the ability to support the client over time that determines success.

  1. Life sciences, pharmaceuticals and chemistry

In 2025, pharmaceuticals represented the second largest export item from Italy to Spain. The country also has a developed ecosystem in the healthcare, biotech, pharmaceutical, and chemical sectors. Opportunities may arise for Italian companies in: 

  • pharmaceutical products; 
  • ingredients and specialty chemicals; 
  • production technologies; 
  • packaging; 
  • machinery for the pharmaceutical industry; 
  • diagnostic; 
  • laboratory technologies; 
  • components and specialized supplies. 

In these sectors, the main leverage is not only commercial. Compliance, document quality, reliability and continuity of supply They become an integral part of the value proposition. In this type of market, “trust is often sold before the product itself.”. 

  1. Digital, energy and mobility

Digitalization and energy transition represent two other important drivers of the Spanish market. The level of technological adoption in businesses is already significant. In the first quarter of 2025: 

  • the 21.1% of Spanish companies with at least 10 employees used Artificial Intelligence technologies; 
  • the 44.3% used paid cloud services; 
  • 84.5% of companies with Internet connection had a website; 
  • 69.7% used social media. 

In 2024, in addition, 26.6% of companies made sales through e-commerce. For Italian companies, this opens up opportunities in the following sectors: 

  • automation; 
  • industrial software; 
  • cybersecurity; 
  • ICT technologies; 
  • energy efficiency; 
  • renewable energy sources; 
  • mobility; 
  • electrical infrastructure; 
  • Automotive components; 
  • aerospace. 

The commercial aspect is particularly important: even in B2B, the Spanish buyer is increasingly important. digital, informed, and able to quickly compare suppliers and alternatives. 

  1. Food, fashion, design and consumer premium

Finally, there is the large segment of the premium consumer. The Spanish consumer is familiar with the Made in Italy and presents a high level of familiarity with Italian products in the following sectors: 

  • food; 
  • wine; 
  • fashion; 
  • accessories; 
  • design; 
  • furniture; 
  • lifestyle. 

This notoriety represents an advantage, but it is not enough on its own to guarantee sales. In mature markets like the Spanish one they become decisive: 

  • positioning; 
  • architecture of price; 
  • distribution; 
  • digital presence; 
  • storytelling in Spanish; 
  • channel formation; 
  • ability to generate rotation. 

For a Spanish distributor or retailer, in fact, the value of Made in Italy must translate into marginality, differentiation or ability to attract the consumer. 

What are the most interesting areas of Spain? 

One of the most common mistakes is to consider Spain as a homogeneous market. It is not. Madrid, Catalonia, the Basque Country, the Valencian Community and Andalusia have different economies, production clusters and distribution networks. The geographical choice should therefore be linked to the sector and the target customer. For example: 

  • Madrid: Headquarters, corporate services, banks, large infrastructure contracts and a central logistics hub (the Henares corridor). 
  • Catalonia (Barcelona and hinterland): Main chemical and pharmaceutical cluster of Spain (Vallès, Baix Llobregat), automotive, packaging and consumer innovation hub. 
  • Basque Country (Bilbao, Vitoria, San Sebastián): Historical District of precision mechanics, machine tools, advanced automotive components and energy (the reference point for renewables and hydrogen). 
  • Valencian Community: Specialized manufacturing (Castellón ceramic district, textiles, footwear), plastic components and a primary logistics-port hub of the Mediterranean (Port of Valencia). 
  • Andalusia (Seville, Malaga): Technological Agribusiness (precision irrigation, high-tech greenhouses), the aerospace hub of Seville (Airbus supply chain) and an international hub for software development and smart working (Malaga TechPark). 

The correct question is therefore not necessarily “How to cover all of Spain?”, But “Which area is best to start from?”

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Which commercial channel to choose in Spain? 

The channel also relies heavily on the industry. The main alternatives may include: 

  • importer; 
  • distributor; 
  • agent; 
  • supplement; 
  • direct sale; 
  • key account; 
  • local commercial presence. 

For some companies, a national distributor can be effective. For others, it may be necessary to work with regional partners or to complement the distributor with direct sales activities. The selection of the partner should not be based solely on initial interest in representing the product. It is important to evaluate: 

  • territorial coverage; 
  • product portfolio; 
  • any conflicts; 
  • commercial structure; 
  • access to target customers; 
  • technical ability; 
  • digital presence; 
  • willingness to share data; 
  • quality of after-sales service. 

Finding a partner does not necessarily mean having found the right partner.

Made in Italy and pricing: is the Italian product enough? 

Italy’s reputation certainly represents an advantage. But in a mature and competitive market, it cannot be the only commercial argument. The Spanish buyer considers very concrete elements: 

  • price; 
  • margin; 
  • total cost; 
  • reliability; 
  • delivery times; 
  • service; 
  • operational risk; 
  • differentiation. 

Technology, design, specialization and quality must therefore be translated into a benefit easily understood by the customer. Made in Italy creates interest. 

The commercial proposal must explain why that product allows the Spanish customer to sell more, improve efficiency, reduce cost or differentiate yourself from competitors. 

How Octagona supports Italian companies in Spain 

The strength of the Spanish market does not eliminate the need for a strategy. On the contrary, precisely because it is a developed and competitive market, selection and method become even more important. Octagona supports Italian companies in the various stages of development in the Spanish market through: 

  • market analysis and the commercial potential; 
  • identification of priority segments; 
  • mapping of competitor; 
  • selection of geographical areas; 
  • Scouting distributors, agents and partners; 
  • identification of potential customers; 
  • commercial developmentand and lead generation; 
  • support in the construction of the pipeline; 
  • definition of the entry and monitoring strategy. 

The goal is not simply to generate contacts, but to build relationships. a sustainable and replicable business model over time. 

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Conclusions: why focus on Spain in 2026? 

Spain represents one of the positive anomalies of the European economy in 2026. While the European Commission forecasts 0.9% growth for the Eurozone, the Spanish economy is expected to advance by 1.1%. 2,4%, supported by consumption, employment and investment. 

The data for the second quarter also confirm an even robust growth, at 2.6% year-on-year. For Italian companies, this scenario is particularly interesting because it builds on already strong trade relations: over 38 billion euros in Italian exports in 2025 and new sales growth to Spain also recorded in 2026. 

But the main opportunity also coincides with the main difficulty. Spain is close, known and accessible, But precisely because of this, it is highly competitive. To grow, it is not enough to export the same product with the same approach used in Italy. It is necessary to choose the most promising segments, identify the correct geographic area, build the channel, adapt the offering, and monitor the market. 

In other words, Proximity reduces the distance, but it does not replace strategy.. 

Frequently Asked Questions

Quanto crescerà il PIL della Spagna nel 2026 rispetto all’Eurozona?

Secondo le previsioni di primavera 2026 della Commissione Europea, il PIL spagnolo crescerà del 2,4%, contro lo 0,9% dell’Eurozona. L’OCSE è più prudente e stima +2,2%. Per il 2027 la Commissione prevede +1,9% per la Spagna e +1,2% per l’area euro. Il secondo trimestre 2026 ha segnato +2,6% su base annua.

What factors explain Spain's economic growth in 2026?

La crescita è sostenuta da domanda interna, investimenti e mercato del lavoro. Nel secondo trimestre 2026 i consumi delle famiglie sono aumentati dell’1,2% e la formazione lorda di capitale dell’1,7%. A questi si aggiungono i fondi europei del PRTR, oltre 163 miliardi di euro, e una disoccupazione prevista al 9,9%.

Quanto esporta l’Italia in Spagna e quali sono i prodotti principali?

In 2025, Italian exports to Spain exceeded 38 billion euros, with a growth of 10.6%. The main categories are machinery and equipment (12.2%), pharmaceuticals (11.7%), computers, electronics and optics (9.7%), transportation (9.3%), metals (9.2%), textiles and fashion (8.6%) and chemicals (8.1%).

Which Italian sectors will have the most export opportunities in Spain in 2026?

The opportunities are divided into four areas: machinery, automation and components; life sciences, pharmaceuticals and chemistry; digital, energy and mobility; and premium consumer goods such as food, wine, fashion and design. B2B demand is fueled by PRTR investments in digitalization, sustainable infrastructure and the energy transition.

Which are the best Spanish regions to start exporting from?

Dipende dal settore. Madrid è sede di headquarters e servizi corporate. La Catalogna è il principale cluster chimico-farmaceutico. I Paesi Baschi sono forti in meccanica di precisione ed energia. La Comunità Valenciana ha manifattura e logistica portuale, mentre l’Andalusia punta su agroalimentare tecnologico e aerospaziale.

To sell in Spain, do you need a distributor or are there other channels?

The distributor is not mandatory. It can be operated with importers, agents, integrators, direct sales, key accounts or local commercial presence, depending on sector, target customers and resources. When choosing a partner, the territorial coverage, portfolio, conflicts of interest, technical capabilities, digital presence and quality of after-sales service should be considered.

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